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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After a big political day time for PB NightHawks
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After a big political day time for PB NightHawks
What with the LAB party defamation case moves and PMQs its been another big political day. One thing’s for sure the response by Corbyn to the party’s settlement of the libel action doesn’t mean the antisemitism row is going away.
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*Well even more than normal. I've waited my entire adult life and then some for this moment.
Will it be enough between now and November?
https://unherd.com/2020/07/what-the-woke-movement-shares-with-communism/
Bit old news to be honest, as he said these things overnight.
Of course he lied about telling people not to wear masks. Claims he never said it.
Were Corbyn and those who think like him to leave or be expelled, that would enable Starmer to re-brand Labour as a non-socialist party of the centre or centre-left for which I think many who voted for Johnson to prevent Corbyn becoming PM last December could vote.
Don't think anyone could ever imagine a 30 year wait when he said that.
All Starmer might have to do is demonstrate he can do the Conservative high-spend social democratic stuff better.
He lost two elections, he objectively failed. Unless you're insane it's time to move on.
Ed Miliband objectively failed. We moved on.
Gordon Brown failed. We moved on.
Neil Kinnock failed. We moved on.
While I didn't think Corbyn would win the idea he could was terrifying.
Every silver lining has a cloud, as my gran used to say.
https://twitter.com/plural_vote/status/1286046610653233153?s=09
https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2020/jul/22/psychological-toll-coronavirus-britain-visual-guide-anxiety-mental-strain
I honestly think the want to win is a lot bigger than a lot of people realise.
If he doesn't then damp squib and the cancer will be there to return in the future.
I am already trying to workout which three could be worse than the Albion.
One of Villa or Watford, and the Hammers can always be relied on to disappoint. The playoff winner, and Brighton and Southampton have over achieved this season. And Newcastle are about due another horror season.
This kind of coverage can only be good for Keir
He has a weakened immune system after undergoing treatment for cancer and the medical view is this is preventing him getting rid of the virus.
He has another 14 days of isolation with which to contend - I can only hope one of the many vaccines will be administered to him as a priority as he is effectively trapped. His condition is not serious, he has never needed ventilation or even gone to hospital.
A lot saw Corbyn for what he was in the final few years. For most of the rest the 80 seat majority made the scales drop from their eyes.
I think the membership will probably be around 350-400,000 in a couple of years
Why would you send Boris Johnson lol
If you are elected as a unity candidate in a party who's members lean decidedly left you do not not drop the the entire 2017 manifesto in the hope of appeasing home counties retirees. Nor do your remove ex-leaders from the whip without great cause.
I don't believe Starmer is the new Blair but an Attlee. 'Starmerisation' of the party IMO will be slow and measured and to the displeasure of most of the prolific PB commentators who indulge themselves with purges of the left leaning.
His manifesto and policies will be 2017-lite but with a pro-Britain focus and better foreign policy.
With a border down it, it might be two public spaces.
Hard to believe it has been 30 years.
Two big reasons, Brexit and Corbyn are gone. But there are others - and I hate to give him credit because I find a lot of what he says pretty rubbish - but Aaron Bastani was right when he said this is a problem that predates Corbyn. Majorities in Labour heartland seats were shrinking before Corbyn arrived. We need to figure out why that was.
I was born later when Liverpool were Champions having won just before I was born captained by my namesake (though my parents always say that was a coincidence I don't believe it lol).
Until my eighth birthday they won an additional 5 titles, Everton won 2 titles with just the 1 for Arsenal going outside of Merseyside.
As a boy I thought the question of who would win the league was simply: red or blue?
I never thought it'd take 30 years before the title returned to Merseyside!
If he puts Labour closer to Government than it's been for a long time, he can resign knowing that in thirty years he will be seen as achieving something.
Like Kinnock.
I miss Mr Meeks. He's a fun person to spar with. Hope he's doing well having his break from here.
https://twitter.com/casinoroyalepb/status/1285949505867743232
This is a very good piece on the pitfalls for the Democrats ahead: https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/david-shor-cancel-culture-2020-election-theory-polls.html
https://twitter.com/MhairiHunter/status/1286060309199966209?s=20
Of course in June 1864, Abraham Lincoln's re-election prospects appeared grim. However, the situation changed dramatically in June with Union victory at the Battle of Atlanta followed by Gen. Sherman's "March to the Sea".
Trumpsky is betting that effective anti-Covid vaccine is developed AND available to hundreds of thousands if not millions of Americans by November 4. Which in terms of timetable alone will be a greater feat than Sherman's hike across Georgia.
Especially when you consider that Lincoln SUPPORTED Sherman, whereas in THIS war, Trumpsky keeps attacking our best general, Dr. Faucci.