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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » WH2020: We need a market on who will President on January 21st
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » WH2020: We need a market on who will President on January 21st – the day after inauguration
Following his Tweet yesterday suggesting that the Presidential election on November 3rd should be postponed there has been a huge amount of speculation about what Trump will do if if he doesn’t win re-election which based on current polling looks very unlikely.
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There is no power to cancel an election in the Constitution.
He can talk about it all he likes - but there is nothing that even the most partisan can build a legal argument on.
He can say "I am the President" - but if the election goes against him, he automatically ceases to become President in January.
If he even hinted he refuses to budge, even the Republican senate would impeach him on a charge of treason.
Some things are sacred to Americans - the constitution being one. And even if it isn't sacred to all of them, it will be sacred to enough of them.
And that's even before we consider that any senator who refused to vote to remove a PResident trying to hang on to office is guilty of breaking their oaths and therefore could themselves be put on trial for treason.
Betfair will have settled on Biden by this point as he'll be projected president via ECV.
Section 1.
The terms of the President and the Vice President shall end at noon on the 20th day of January, and the terms of Senators and Representatives at noon on the 3d day of January, of the years in which such terms would have ended if this article had not been ratified; and the terms of their successors shall then begin.
Taking control of the internet, military boots on the streets. The conditions for voting Biden could be less than optimal.
America is a troubled democracy, but it's not gone that far.
Part of me is almost hoping he does try this, so he can be arrested and quietly locked away for the rest of his natural span where he can do no more trouble.
Lose and power will drain quickly. Especially if he loses both Houses.
Under such a scenario Republicans will give his barmy ideas a wide berth.
Problem is if it is disputed.
The latest data from Public Health England shows the rate of infection is now above 40 per 100,000 people in Oldham, Bradford, Pendle and Trafford in the week to July 27 as cases continue to rise.
The rate in Calderdale has sprung up from 20.8 to 33.6 in the space of a week and from 13.9 to 25.9 in Manchester.
The headline was of course about the rural areas that only had four cases per 10,000.
If the EC has met, and elected Biden, he becomes President. All he needs is a judge to administer the oath of office.
Man pleads guilty to having sex with chickens.
https://www.thetelegraphandargus.co.uk/news/18620366.man-pleads-guilty-sex-chickens/
Something he now regrets.
But in that case, because there were problems the SCOTUS agree to hear the case.
If Trump is just trying to drag things out after losing every state bar Montana, they will tell him to do one.
Oh wait. I'm from Liverpool. Of course I would.
But even dictators usually give up when they've lost elections (especially elections they've rigged). Mugabe was a dazzling exception but does anyone think even Maduro or Putin would survive an election defeat? Apart from anything else, they would look like losers and their supporters would run like rabbits to whoever could protect them.
So in America, with independent courts and a separate elected assembly, plus a military with a strong commitment to upholding the Constitution, it just isn't going to happen.
Are we looking at the equivalent of the Curragh Mutiny, which changed the Governments policy. Allegedly, anyway.
---------
We lost a member of our congregation two weeks ago and there were 50 people gathered at his house to express their sympathies.’ A single road in Bradford registered an astonishing 17 coronavirus cases within six days, it has emerged.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8580399/Muslim-leaders-condemn-minute-lockdown-announcement-eve-Eid-abuse-power.html
To which they replied, they would resign their commissions.
What if you are ordered to go to Belfast to restore order?
Ah, that's different, said the officers. Then we'd follow orders.
But because Seeley was the second most useless drunken twat in the cabinet, he only heard the first part and panicked.
The number of people in hospital in England has gone down by 28 in a day to 807.
My personal favourite stat, on the 29th July 64 people were admitted to hospital in Wales with Covid yet only 23 in England. Now what are the chances of that??
The stats are pure nonsense.
https://coronavirus-staging.data.gov.uk/healthcare
I would back him for Republican 2024 nominee right now @50
It's a two party system where neither party ever gets particularly weak - certainly at the moment both parties are in reasonable health; it's enshrined in the constitution (Which is taken very very seriously by those that matter) that noone can be president for more than 8 years. The Supreme Court and both houses are independent of the President - their SC can't be undone by an act of parliament as ours could potentially be and their elections have a history of being utterly invioble even when one could argue they don't need to take place as there is a pandemic or world war (late twenties, early 40s) on.
It'd be easier to pull off in this country quite frankly.
The desperate but understandable desire to view him as an aberration rather than a symptom is a massive mistake.
One minor quibble - under the Constitution it's 10 years maximum, not eight years.
Pretty good list all in all. Charles Moore is a bonus.
People very rarely care about process. They care about safety, and the government is trying to make things safer.
https://twitter.com/PhilipHammondUK/status/1289218776882454528?s=20
Where were the respondents? On the South Coast?
Social-media platforms are cracking down on anyone who challenges the Covid narrative.
Liam Deacon"
https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/07/30/big-tech-is-suppressing-science/
Replication-competent vesicular stomatitis virus vaccine vector protects against SARS-CoV-2-mediated pathogenesis in mice
https://www.cell.com/cell-host-microbe/fulltext/S1931-3128(20)30421-2
Previously, we developed a replication-competent vesicular stomatitis virus (VSV) expressing a modified form of the SARS-CoV-2 spike gene in place of the native glycoprotein gene (VSV-eGFP-SARS-CoV-2). Here, we show that vaccination with VSV-eGFP-SARS-CoV-2 generates neutralizing immune responses and protects mice from SARS-CoV-2. Immunization of mice with VSV-eGFP-SARS-CoV-2 elicits high antibody titers that neutralize SARS-CoV-2 and target the receptor binding domain that engages human angiotensin converting enzyme-2 (ACE2). Upon challenge with a human isolate of SARS-CoV-2, mice expressing human ACE2 and immunized with VSV-eGFP-SARS-CoV-2 show profoundly reduced viral infection and inflammation in the lung, indicating protection against pneumonia. Passive transfer of sera from VSV-eGFP-SARS-CoV-2-immunized animals also protects naïve mice from SARS-CoV-2 challenge. These data support development of VSV-eGFP-SARS-CoV-2 as an attenuated, replication-competent vaccine against SARS-CoV-2.
Just as Cummings believed that he, and he alone, thwarted John Prescott's plan for a NE Assembly.
As always, it is more complicated than that. Many factors combined to take us out of the EU of which he was one part, but not the only or even the most important part.
Ultimately, looked at with a cold eye he is a serial party hopper and egoist who campaigned on one issue and on that one issue won two minor elections with low turnouts that, rightly or wrongly, nobody took seriously. He has no friends, no influence and now he's quarelled with Banks and left the European PArliament gravy train, no money.
So no, he doesn't deserve a place in the Lords and even if he did he's so unpopular with the actual powerbrokers nobody would nominate him for one, even without the rumours swirling of dubious foreign business activities.
That was the point.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8578411/Coronavirus-vaccine-developed-Australian-researchers-develops-immune-response.html