The Labour + LD + Green vote share will end up pretty much as it is in the polls. It is delivering the Tories what looks to be one of their worst ever local election results. What we are seeing very … (View Post)
I would love to know where the extra seats for Others are going to come from. You just do not make the direct gains that Labour is making from the Tories and end up with a hung Parliament. (View Post)
The postal votes will favour the Tories as they will mostly come from older voters. I've been saying for months that Khan could lose and I strongly suspect that he will. If he holds on it will only b… (View Post)
She has a very large and highly motivated anti-Khan vote to build up from. There is no active support for Khan personally. He is reliant on enough of the generic Labour vote turning out. (View Post)
You cannot level up from the economically liberal, sovereignty-maximalist, culture war right. There needs to be a level of state intervention and wealth redistribution. That involves Tory pragmatism … (View Post)