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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB/Polling Matters podcast looking at the results of the local
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB/Polling Matters podcast looking at the results of the local and the implications
Keiran Pedley takes us through Thursday’s Local Election results, calling out the results we should pay attention to and asking what this all means for the main parties at Westminster.
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Is useful considering the lack of candidates in Northern Ireland and most of the polls are GB wide.
Kris Kristofferson was a Merton man, and Kris Kristofferson wrote Me and Bobby McGee, which puts Merton pretty centrally on the cultural map.
Cambridge Analytica has been ordered to hand over all the data and personal information it has on an American voter, including details of where it got the data and what it did with it, or face a criminal prosecution.
The UK Information Commissioner’s Office (ICO) served the enforcement notice to the company on Friday in a landmark legal decision that opens the way for up to 240 million other American voters to request their data back from the firm under British data protection laws.
The test case was taken to the ICO by David Carroll, an associate professor at Parsons School of Design in New York. As a US citizen, he had no means of obtaining this information under US law, but in January 2016 he discovered Cambridge Analytica had processed US voter data in the UK and that this gave him rights under British laws. Cambridge Analytica had refused to accept this and told the ICO that Carroll was no more entitled to make a so-called “subject access request” under the UK Data Protection Act “than a member of the Taliban sitting in a cave in the remotest corner of Afghanistan”.
The ICO did not accept this as a valid legal argument and has now told SCL Elections, which acted as the data controller for Cambridge Analytica, that it has 30 days to comply or appeal. Cambridge Analytica and its affiliates announced this week that they had gone into liquidation, but the ICO has made it clear that it cannot avoid its responsibilities under UK law and states that “failure to comply with this enforcement notice is a criminal offence”.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/may/05/cambridge-analytica-uk-regulator-release-data-us-voter-david-carroll
John McDonnell has called Marxism 'a force for change today' and one of the biggest influence of Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party.
The Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer gave a strident defence of Marxism at an event in London to commemorate 200 years since Karl Marx's birth.
'Marxism is about developing democracy," - of course it is John.
Aides to Donald Trump, the US president, hired an Israeli private intelligence agency to orchestrate a “dirty ops” campaign against key individuals from the Obama administration who helped negotiate the Iran nuclear deal, the Observer can reveal.
People in the Trump camp contacted private investigators in May last year to “get dirt” on Ben Rhodes, who had been one of Barack Obama’s top national security advisers, and Colin Kahl, deputy assistant to Obama, as part of an elaborate attempt to discredit the deal.
The extraordinary revelations come days before Trump’s 12 May deadline to either scrap or continue to abide by the international deal limiting Iran’s nuclear programme.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/may/05/trump-team-hired-spy-firm-dirty-ops-iran-nuclear-deal
While the government has been obsessing over the customs union battle, Tory rebels have been building numbers behind keeping U.K. in single market - they say they’ve got enough to pass an amendment....
...but it’s not going to happen if Labour don’t back it...
...rebels in both the Lords and Commons are warning Corbyn he is going to spark a major internal row unless he supports the single market...
...a time was always going to come when Corbyn would have to answer to his pro-EU membership - that time just came closer.
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2018/02/25/why-i-wont-be-surprised-to-see-a-general-election-or-corbyn-become-prime-minister-this-year/
Good evening, everyone.
Another referendum introduces complexity into that mission, which is why she won’t go for it unless forced to by Parliament under the guise of approving the final deal.
We've not had one in ages, Brexit shows we clearly need some Johnny Foreigners to civilise us once more.
Lab 55.17%
Con 34.30%
LD 5.07%
Grn 2.73%
Ind 2.72%
Labour gained 16 seats v. 2014, Cons lost 13.
2014 Lab 35, Con 25, LD 3
2018 Lab 51, Con 12
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/992864967421562880
I suspect that May will try to delay Commons votes until the autumn when the deal is finalised. Parliament will reject the deal, and we will have a second referendum on whether we should accept the deal or remain after all.
If the nation votes to stay, the Conservative Party will lose the 2022 election. It will not be able to motivate its supporters if Brexit is abandoned.
May will also not call a second referendum neither will Corbyn
The save to draft button is way too close to the publish button.
It makes me feel so much better about my own efforts.
No wait, my record breaks are, 1,4, and 7.
Also, I've only just noticed your profile pic is for Weyland-Yutani Corp. What better worlds are you building? Then its proponents where it is dominant do a very poor job of it.
'I hate those people who "vote Labour because my dad did sheep.'
(Yes, that's a real error somebody once made.)
Although really we need a remainer, who became a leaver, then became a remainer again I suppose - so we need a Cabinet or ex Cabinet remainer (one not fired for incompetence or scandal) who served under May for a time. I'd say perhaps Javid but he seems more strident now. Hunt?
70-80% of our current supporters want us to leave. If we don’t, a proportion of those will abstain, and some will actually vote Labour to punish us for it. We have become so identified with Brexit that we will not be thanked by Remainers if we end up staying.
Your beloved Cameron and Osborne only got their majority because of the EU referendum promise. If we stay, the same people will sling us out of power.
They won't let Corbyn become PM.
Overcut the black off the spot.
It's riveting.
Don't think it will happen,
Shame it was a foul.
And Williams misses the red...
Plus if you are right, 5 years of Corbyn free of state aid rules will convince us to rejoin the Single Market.
The Tories face a struggle to win next time regardless, and their only chance is getting a deal they can sell to most of their voters are pretty good, and hope the economic disruption is not too great straight away. If we go to the polls sooner, with them still so divided, Corbyn will win for sure.
For reasons like this. I believe he is 5-1 as next PM?
In either case, Leavers would feel betrayed. Some will take the view that it doesn’t matter if Corbyn is our prime minister, because we won’t be an independent country. Large parts of our national life will still be governed by people who aren’t democratically accountable to the British people, so who cares who sits in Number 10?
We're leaving. It's a shame some people can't accept that.
If the country elects Corbyn as PM I'll consider the greatest act of national self mutilation since well Brexit.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/may/04/irish-border-backup-plan-suggests-checks-ports-airports-brexit
I suspect the DUP will go into full No Surrender mode.
We would be left with about 150-200 Brexit Party MPs, facing Corbyn with a healthy majority.
I hope that’s what Soubry and Clarke want.
Makes no sense, so let's file it in the 'nah, forget it' bin.
Look at the mental leaps Southam Obsever made to justify rejoining a party that thinks safe spaces should be for antisemites too.
There's a pattern emerging here...