I suspect Zac will do significantly better than the polls suggest... But Sadiq will still win comfortably.
I think the risk for this polling is the other way. It really would not surprise me if Khan wins by more than any of the polls set out in the heading (except Opinium of course).
Actually testing the pollsters on a 2 stage election with second preferences is quite tough. Similarly in Wales and Scotland with the complicated interplay of constituencies and lists.
One of these had turnout at 82% or something along those lines. If that happens I will run down Uxbridge Road in Shepherds Bush in my underpants.
I can only conclude Katie Hopkins genuinely wants to run down Regent Street with a sausage up her bottom.
She has just confirmed on her Twitter that Sadiq will choose the sausage.
The German media are calling today's elections a warm up for Brexit so maybe this should set the trend for June.
The German media are a bit thick then, if 45-50% of people vote Brexit in London (same number of people who will vote for Zac) it would be a massive, massive surprise. As TOPPING said yesterday, the London Mayor is about personality politics, the reason this has been such a dire campaign is that both of the main candidates are completely without any kind of personality. Boris would have wiped the floor with Khan.
One of these had turnout at 82% or something along those lines. If that happens I will run down Uxbridge Road in Shepherds Bush in my underpants.
I can only conclude Katie Hopkins genuinely wants to run down Regent Street with a sausage up her bottom.
She has just confirmed on her Twitter that Sadiq will choose the sausage.
The German media are calling today's elections a warm up for Brexit so maybe this should set the trend for June.
The German media are a bit thick then, if 45-50% of people vote Brexit in London (same number of people who will vote for Zac) it would be a massive, massive surprise.
They didn't mean the Mayoral election specifically but all the elections taking place across the country.
Martin Daubney takes no prisoners, another lifetime Labour man goes Tory
These sneering boobies are the UK’s Animal Farm socialists: luvvies who’ve grown fat on lucrative book, journalism and TV deals, buttressed with public speaking appearance fees; corpulent Lefties who inexplicably feel they have the right to lecture the rest of us on privilege...
The Labour party that once represented coal miners like my father is now the party of the Socialist Justice Warrior.
So we find ourselves in a bizarre position where modern Labour voters are now the single biggest reason to not vote Labour. How the hell did that happen? And what on Earth are Labour going to do about it?
Someone on the last thread, Casino_Royale I think, said that he'd had to go online to find details of the PCC candidates. Same here. In fact it took (by web search standards) some perseverance to find anything. If the candidates names had been subject to a super-injunction it would have been quicker to find them.
I'm afraid turnout in those elections in going to be dreadful.
Meanwhile, the man Merkel calls 'Daddy' has effectively had the PM removed so a more compliant politician can take his place and ensure Turkey moves to a presidential system. The president, of course, being Erdogan: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-36213401
Chorizo, egg and chips. There is no finer combination of taste sensations if all are of the highest quality. Take with a strong red wine and reflect on the glories of the world.
The Royal Navy fired flares to warn of a Spanish patrol boat harassing an American nuclear submarine off Gibraltar.
The fast patrol boat HMS Sabre fired warning shots across the bow of a Guardia Civil vessel as it twice tried to cut across the path of USS Florida during an incursion into Gibraltar’s waters.
The one moment last year I had doubts about the Tories winning most seats was when Katie Hopkins backed the Tories and threatened to emigrate if Ed Miliband became PM
Britain best place to invest, says China's richest man When asked if he was concerned about the possibility of the UK leaving the EU after a potential upcoming referendum, he said that he wasn't.
"I don't think it is a big problem for me whether the UK is in the EU or not. It is a problem between the UK and Europe. The UK is relatively independent in the EU at present. It does not use the euro."
I had a nasty shock when I went to vote. Instead of then usual bunch of ner'er do-wells to choose from, the council election was a binary vote. No cop out with a LD or Ukip (probably the former as there's no EU involvement). A choice between an obnoxious Jezzarite or an unknown Conservative.
I decided against putting a rude picture against both, and finally put an X against the Tory - whoever he was!
Aargh! I felt dirty. I came home and washed my hands immediately. I'm 66 and I've voted Tory for the first ever time. If I go out tonight and kick a beggar or eat a baby, it's all Jezza's fault.
Come on Labour, get this sorted out. Think of the old gits.
And well done for getting in a reference to AV, the finest voting system known to humanity.
SV is just a really bad pin-the-tail-on-the-donkey kind of AV where you have to guess who'll be in the second round. I might do a thread on it one day.
I had a nasty shock when I went to vote. Instead of then usual bunch of ner'er do-wells to choose from, the council election was a binary vote. No cop out with a LD or Ukip (probably the former as there's no EU involvement). A choice between an obnoxious Jezzarite or an unknown Conservative.
I decided against putting a rude picture against both, and finally put an X against the Tory - whoever he was!
Aargh! I felt dirty. I came home and washed my hands immediately. I'm 66 and I've voted Tory for the first ever time. If I go out tonight and kick a beggar or eat a baby, it's all Jezza's fault.
Come on Labour, get this sorted out. Think of the old gits.
And well done for getting in a reference to AV, the finest voting system known to humanity.
SV is just a really bad pin-the-tail-on-the-donkey kind of AV where you have to guess who'll be in the second round. I might do a thread on it one day.
I had planned a thread today reminding everyone that today is the fifth anniversary of the AV referendum, but you and YouGov have buggered that up
I had a nasty shock when I went to vote. Instead of then usual bunch of ner'er do-wells to choose from, the council election was a binary vote. No cop out with a LD or Ukip (probably the former as there's no EU involvement). A choice between an obnoxious Jezzarite or an unknown Conservative.
I decided against putting a rude picture against both, and finally put an X against the Tory - whoever he was!
Aargh! I felt dirty. I came home and washed my hands immediately. I'm 66 and I've voted Tory for the first ever time. If I go out tonight and kick a beggar or eat a baby, it's all Jezza's fault.
Come on Labour, get this sorted out. Think of the old gits.
You could always stand next time for the Bus-Pass Elvis Party....
The Royal Navy fired flares to warn of a Spanish patrol boat harassing an American nuclear submarine off Gibraltar.
The fast patrol boat HMS Sabre fired warning shots across the bow of a Guardia Civil vessel as it twice tried to cut across the path of USS Florida during an incursion into Gibraltar’s waters.
CoaB. USS Florida is a Ohio-class Cruise Missile Sub, its playing with fire to get near one of those, one slip of the rudder so you scratch the paint work and go straight to the top of Uncle Sam's shit list. There is probably an LA-class fast attack riding shotgun somewhere nearby as well
Someone on the last thread, Casino_Royale I think, said that he'd had to go online to find details of the PCC candidates. Same here. In fact it took (by web search standards) some perseverance to find anything. If the candidates names had been subject to a super-injunction it would have been quicker to find them.
I'm afraid turnout in those elections in going to be dreadful.
On which note, I must go and vote.
I was 32nd to vote in my polling station at 12.30pm.
Someone on the last thread, Casino_Royale I think, said that he'd had to go online to find details of the PCC candidates. Same here. In fact it took (by web search standards) some perseverance to find anything. If the candidates names had been subject to a super-injunction it would have been quicker to find them.
I'm afraid turnout in those elections in going to be dreadful.
On which note, I must go and vote.
I was 32nd to vote in my polling station at 12.30pm.
There was tumbleweed blowing through....
I was second in my street to vote at 11.50am and the street goes up to number 96....
There were eight people administering the votes and they were all tucking into a huge picnic. They looked very put out to see me!
@GuardianAnushka: I'm told Labour leadership script for tonight if Sadiq Khan wins: Tories made this abt Corbyn & he won. Others will be vocal against that
Honestly don't think I can be motivated by either Mayoral candidate to rush down to London this evening to vote, like wot I did a year ago on General Election Night - and make it back to Brum just in time for the exit poll!
@GuardianAnushka: I'm told Labour leadership script for tonight if Sadiq Khan wins: Tories made this abt Corbyn & he won. Others will be vocal against that
In reality, Khan's success is based on distancing himself from Corbyn.
Just back from the polling station here in SW20 and have to report it being quite busy...
And well done for getting in a reference to AV, the finest voting system known to humanity.
SV is just a really bad pin-the-tail-on-the-donkey kind of AV where you have to guess who'll be in the second round. I might do a thread on it one day.
I had planned a thread today reminding everyone that today is the fifth anniversary of the AV referendum, but you and YouGov have buggered that up
Might run with it on Sunday
Sunil J. Prasannan is calling a for a total and complete shut-down of AV threads entering PB.com, until our forum's representatives can figure out what the hell is going on!
Honestly don't think I can be motivated by either Mayoral candidate to rush down to London this evening to vote, like wot I did a year ago on General Election Night - and make it back to Brum just in time for the exit poll!
@GuardianAnushka: I'm told Labour leadership script for tonight if Sadiq Khan wins: Tories made this abt Corbyn & he won. Others will be vocal against that
In reality, Khan's success is based on distancing himself from Corbyn.
Just back from the polling station here in SW20 and have to report it being quite busy...
Honestly don't think I can be motivated by either Mayoral candidate to rush down to London this evening to vote, like wot I did a year ago on General Election Night - and make it back to Brum just in time for the exit poll!
I'm sitting this one out on this level, boys
Why didn't you apply for a postal vote?
Because it's just not the same as voting in person! Um, if you know what I mean.
Undefined discussion subject.
Comments
And well done for getting in a reference to AV, the finest voting system known to humanity.
That's quite a victory.
'the General Election Scottish polling was, in the main, pretty good'
except Opinium of course).If it's low turnout on Labour side too, and slightly better in outer boroughs, I could see a 54-46 result for Khan.
Or something like that. What makes me sceptical is the fact Zac doesn't even excite the Tory base.
Not sure if I'll stay up to watch the results this time.
Not that they deserve any better of course.
She has just confirmed on her Twitter that Sadiq will choose the sausage.
@ScottyNational: @ScottyNational It's official! Nicola Sturgeon will use Hive Mind Telepathy to assess if Scotland wants Indyref2
(Pork, Red Chilli, Ginger, Lemon, Paprika)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect
Same reason a shy kippers and shy leavers.
She retweeted it.
I'm just about to vote so later folks...
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/wahlen-in-grossbritannien-chance-fuer-kleine-parteien-a-1090808.html
Dan Hodges @DPJHodges 15m15 minutes ago
Just cast my vote for the Women's Equality Party. We can do this sisters.
@EthanA_S: Remember to bring youre own pen to the voting booth tomorrow. Don't let the powers that be mess with youre vote. They fear an SNP win. #SNP
Only one of these is a spoof...
I suspect it could be the opposite amongst the WWC in the north-east or north-west.
I'm afraid turnout in those elections in going to be dreadful.
On which note, I must go and vote.
Mr. Max, it'll be a triumph for cultural diversity.
https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/728155588232798208
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-36213401
Go ZAC.
Ahem.
That said, sod all difference will it make.
https://t.co/plaTzD98MP https://t.co/MFaFeX4Btt
Japanese PM @AbeShinzo tells me "question of Brexit is for British people, but "Japan very clearly wants Britain to remain in the EU"
Up to 155 polling stations in Barnet affected by failures this morning. (236k registered to vote there.)
The Royal Navy fired flares to warn of a Spanish patrol boat harassing an American nuclear submarine off Gibraltar.
The fast patrol boat HMS Sabre fired warning shots across the bow of a Guardia Civil vessel as it twice tried to cut across the path of USS Florida during an incursion into Gibraltar’s waters.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/05/05/royal-navy-fires-warning-shots-as-spanish-vessel-harasses-us-sub/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
I decided against putting a rude picture against both, and finally put an X against the Tory - whoever he was!
Aargh! I felt dirty. I came home and washed my hands immediately. I'm 66 and I've voted Tory for the first ever time. If I go out tonight and kick a beggar or eat a baby, it's all Jezza's fault.
Come on Labour, get this sorted out. Think of the old gits.
That said, don't be surprised if you find Mr. Eagles and Mr. Nabavi standing outside your house, chanting, "One of us! One of us!"
‘I’ve called him “Brexit” so that everyone’s afraid of him.’
http://www.spectator.co.uk/comic/dog-9/
Might run with it on Sunday
I was 32nd to vote in my polling station at 12.30pm.
There was tumbleweed blowing through....
There were eight people administering the votes and they were all tucking into a huge picnic. They looked very put out to see me!
I'm sitting this one out on this level, boys
http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/may/05/ministers-willing-to-pause-imposition-of-junior-doctors-contract
Spare a thought for the befuddled Corbynistas in North London trying to follow Charlotte Church and vote for Plaid Cymru today.
Just back from the polling station here in SW20 and have to report it being quite busy...