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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Trump does win it will make a mockery of the “rule” that th

SystemSystem Posts: 11,685
edited November 2016 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Trump does win it will make a mockery of the “rule” that the one with the best ratings takes the crown

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  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,722
    First like Clinton and Jack's Arse
  • Options
    619619 Posts: 1,784
    Second, like the GOP if they keep nominating crazy racists like Trump
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898
    edited November 2016
    2nd like Donald
    3rd like the American people, presented with such a stupid choice.
  • Options
    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956
    4th like Gary Johnson in Utah
  • Options
    619619 Posts: 1,784
    GOP GOTV in Michigan

    https://twitter.com/bkesling/status/795975401403285506
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    Has there ever been an election where both candidates were so universally disliked?
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,620
    Whateverth, like Bernie Sanders write-in.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    edited November 2016
    8th, like Mitt Romney.
  • Options
    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    MaxPB said:

    Has there ever been an election where both candidates were so universally disliked?

    Labour Leadership election?
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,461
    Historically, Clinton's ratings are quite dire.

    She's lucky the GOP chose the one candidate who is even worse than Clinton.
  • Options
    ToryJimToryJim Posts: 3,414
    619 said:

    GOP GOTV in Michigan

    https://twitter.com/bkesling/status/795975401403285506

    He's good at this inadvertent voter suppression isn't he...
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,114
    619 said:

    GOP GOTV in Michigan

    https://twitter.com/bkesling/status/795975401403285506

    'Diaper Don' has certainly inherited his dad's charm.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    TCPoliticalBetting said:

    MaxPB said:

    Has there ever been an election where both candidates were so universally disliked?

    Labour Leadership election?
    Yes, Owen thingy was a bit shit wasn't he.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    The @BullCityVA poll watcher twitter isn't a great sign for the Democrats in North Carolina imo.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    MaxPB said:

    Yes, Owen thingy was a bit shit wasn't he.

    Who?
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,461
    Theuniondivvie said:

    619 said:

    GOP GOTV in Michigan

    https://twitter.com/bkesling/status/795975401403285506

    'Diaper Don' has certainly inherited his dad's charm.
    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Isn't it quite close, though? This bars seem around 4 points or fewer apart.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    Meanwhile, in transparent news:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-37909299
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,461
    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
  • Options
    JSpringJSpring Posts: 97
    MaxPB said:

    Has there ever been an election where both candidates were so universally disliked?

    Not universally disliked - both are liked by their core supporters. Actually quite a few of those who dislike both might not be swing voters and moderates but Sanderistas or Ted Cruz 'true conservative' types.

  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    So - is Votecastr tech not working, or are the results inconvenient to their agenda ?
  • Options
    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Votecastr looks to be a bust.

    It's supposed to be running the live war room, there's nothing there.
  • Options
    Lucian_FletcherLucian_Fletcher Posts: 793
    It's tragic to see such big red lines. Though I guess not surprising. How did this end up the battle in a system of primaries? Surely one party should have found a decent candidate?
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    Pulpstar said:

    So - is Votecastr tech not working, or are the results inconvenient to their agenda ?

    Could be either or both. Still absolutely bollocks though. What a waste of time.

    Old media 1 - 0 New media
  • Options
    619619 Posts: 1,784
    GOP GOTV for Horse shaggers

    https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/795865102385893376
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Pulpstar said:

    The @BullCityVA poll watcher twitter isn't a great sign for the Democrats in North Carolina imo.

    Blimey, sounds a bit systematic.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Jobabob said:

    Votecastr looks to be a bust.

    It's supposed to be running the live war room, there's nothing there.

    The Vice feed claims to be going live in 8 minutes
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Trump, Clinton holding steady at 4-1, 1-4.

    You could probably take either side of that and cash in in the coming hours.
  • Options
    619619 Posts: 1,784
    Roger stone of the trump train

    https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/795986342949818368
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    619 said:

    GOP GOTV for Horse shaggers

    https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/795865102385893376

    The top stallion looks to have good strong lines I think.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Alistair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    The @BullCityVA poll watcher twitter isn't a great sign for the Democrats in North Carolina imo.

    Blimey, sounds a bit systematic.
    Well I could do with North Carolina going republican, but the suppression sounds bad.
  • Options
    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    On topic, we need to keep in mind that this is an electoral college system, I'm not sure national favourability figures mean a lot when in reality it's a handful of states that will decide the outcome.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,620
    Pulpstar said:

    The @BullCityVA poll watcher twitter isn't a great sign for the Democrats in North Carolina imo.

    Chillax. All of the north-eastern hipsters who went to Duke and stayed in Durham will finish their organic latte,cycle to the polling station, vote Sanders, er Clinton, and then retire for a glass or two of craft beer and a bite to eat at Bull City Burger & Brewery on East Parrish Street.

    That's the demographic that is swinging NC blue.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    619 said:

    Roger stone of the trump train

    Trump's goose sounds cooked to me in NV.
  • Options
    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,150
    Quite a bit of writing in Bernie Sanders going on. Not sure how much of it's in swing states.
    https://twitter.com/search?f=tweets&vertical=default&q=wrote in&src=typd
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
  • Options
    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    The polls have got it right. It is the voters that are wrong.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,311
    Easiest way to remember all U.S. states and their capitals! :)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-wkBaBKD0A
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898
    Vice News / Votecastr stream going live on the hour. Allegedly.
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cBwGlqrP1-E
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    John K Stahl ‏@JohnKStahlUSA 15h15 hours ago
    We need to turnout Catholics, NRA members, Independents, Military, Cops and the base. HRC is going down. #tcot #ccot #gop #maga

    Rofl, if NRA members aren't the base, who is :D
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    edited November 2016
    edmundintokyo said:

    Quite a bit of writing in Bernie Sanders going on. Not sure how much of it's in swing states.
    https://twitter.com/search?f=tweets&vertical=default&q=wrote in&src=typd

    Will he beat Mitt Romney ?

    Seeing as it happened in New Hampshire midnight voting, I'd say blowhards on both sides will be writing in Romney/Sanders. They won't care if they're in a swing state.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,620
    edmundintokyo said:

    Quite a bit of writing in Bernie Sanders going on. Not sure how much of it's in swing states.
    https://twitter.com/search?f=tweets&vertical=default&q=wrote in&src=typd

    I wrote in Bernie Sanders for the PCC elections. Does that count?
  • Options
    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,150
    Pulpstar said:

    edmundintokyo said:

    Quite a bit of writing in Bernie Sanders going on. Not sure how much of it's in swing states.
    https://twitter.com/search?f=tweets&vertical=default&q=wrote in&src=typd

    Will he beat Mitt Romney ?

    Seeing as it happened in New Hampshire midnight voting, I'd say blowhards on both sides will be writing in Romney/Sanders. They won't care if they're in a swing state.
    I think so. Might end up behind Evan McMullin, though.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,114
    619 said:

    GOP GOTV for Horse shaggers

    https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/795865102385893376

    'A vote for Trump is worth a thimbleful of frozen horse jizz' has a certain ring to it.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    SandyRentool said:

    edmundintokyo said:

    Quite a bit of writing in Bernie Sanders going on. Not sure how much of it's in swing states.
    https://twitter.com/search?f=tweets&vertical=default&q=wrote in&src=typd

    I wrote in Bernie Sanders for the PCC elections. Does that count?
    Maybe not.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Vice is live
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    https://twitter.com/EllieAnnMusic/status/795977373036453888

    Hillary racking up the votes in Boston !
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
    The Bushs are in, Reagan is out.
  • Options
    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    edmundintokyo said:

    Quite a bit of writing in Bernie Sanders going on. Not sure how much of it's in swing states.
    https://twitter.com/search?f=tweets&vertical=default&q=wrote in&src=typd

    If this were to happen the place this would hurt Clinton is in the rust belt. Everywhere else the Bernie bros are concentrated in fairly safe states.
  • Options
    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    Morris_Dancer said:

    Meanwhile, in transparent news:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-37909299


    The High Court has opened a can of worms with its ruling.

  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Pulpstar said:

    https://twitter.com/EllieAnnMusic/status/795977373036453888

    Hillary racking up the votes in Boston !

    I've stood on those steps
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    FFS Votecastr are going to have a live interview with Jill Stein. DON'T GIVE HER PUBLICITY.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    Pulpstar said:

    https://twitter.com/EllieAnnMusic/status/795977373036453888

    Hillary racking up the votes in Boston !

    Not very helpful really.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Alistair said:

    FFS Votecastr are going to have a live interview with Jill Stein. DON'T GIVE HER PUBLICITY.

    Lol - ye she is the real enemy.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,461
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
    Which ones?

    I reckon the first 20 odd must be ineligible by the times they lived in.
  • Options
    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,150
    Dave Chapelle also getting some traction.

    Does this stuff get tabulated? It might make an interesting market...
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Turnout anecdote #2:

    Benedick ‏@BenedickUSA 1h1 hour ago
    Suburban Pittsburgh, PA: Elderly veteran Poll volunteer said early turnout like nothing he's ever seen.
  • Options
    DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    edited November 2016
    Votecastr: "We've created an organisation comparable to what a campaign might have".

    This is such a load of old cock it's laughable.

    Mind you, they're probably up to something. I wonder what it is.
  • Options
    peter_from_putneypeter_from_putney Posts: 6,875
    ***** Betting Post *****

    A few days sgo, I suggested a modest flutter on Florida at 25/1 to win Ladbrokes' intriguing "Clinton Firewall Finder" market, where one has to work down a list of States and identify the first one which will be won by Hillary.
    That 25/1 shot has since shortened to just 5/1, which is fine and dandy insofar as things go, but as I see things, the major possible obstacle appears to be Ohio, two places up the list from Florida which the redoubtable JackW has identified this morning as a Hillary win and I consider therefore that it's worth at least a "saver" or possibly a bet in its own right to be the winner of this market, where the odds are currently 8/1.
    DYOR.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    10,000 per state is a decent number. Shame it was by landline.
  • Options
    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    Dromedary said:

    Votecastr: "We've created an organisation comparable to what a campaign might have".

    This is such a load of old cock it's laughable.

    Mind you, they're probably up to something. I wonder what it is.

    Perhaps they mean Trump campaign...
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898
    edited November 2016
    This Votecastr programme looks like bollocks. They're not actually talking to anyone as they vote, they're only in eight states (not including NC). If their guy has to speak for 10 minutes and can't explain what he's actually doing then I can't see this is helpful.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Sandpit said:

    This Votecastr programme looks like bollocks. They're not actually talking to anyone as they vote, they're only in eight states (not including NC). If their guy has to speak for 10 minutes and can't explain what he's actually doing then I can't see this is helpful.

    From what I can gather. 10,000 person survey per state. Poll watchers report turnout and demographics which are aggregated vs their survey.

    So it might well be a good source for turnout data for those betting on that market but otherwise I'm not being that impressed at the moment.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,356
    Pulpstar said:

    Turnout anecdote #2:

    Benedick ‏@BenedickUSA 1h1 hour ago
    Suburban Pittsburgh, PA: Elderly veteran Poll volunteer said early turnout like nothing he's ever seen.

    Turnout anecdotes are normally bollocks but I'm happy with my buy on it.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    brokenwheel said:

    On topic, we need to keep in mind that this is an electoral college system, I'm not sure national favourability figures mean a lot when in reality it's a handful of states that will decide the outcome.

    For all its faults UNS works well in the UK.

    What swings it one way nationally in the USA will do the same in FOP.
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
    Which ones?

    I reckon the first 20 odd must be ineligible by the times they lived in.
    Woodrow Wilson and Reagan are both out, for example.
  • Options
    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
    Which ones?

    I reckon the first 20 odd must be ineligible by the times they lived in.
    Not many people have *more* than 4 grandparents - There may be one or two in a few decades due to gene splicing etc.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898
    edited November 2016
    Alistair said:

    Sandpit said:

    This Votecastr programme looks like bollocks. They're not actually talking to anyone as they vote, they're only in eight states (not including NC). If their guy has to speak for 10 minutes and can't explain what he's actually doing then I can't see this is helpful.

    From what I can gather. 10,000 person survey per state. Poll watchers report turnout and demographics which are aggregated vs their survey.

    So it might well be a good source for turnout data for those betting on that market but otherwise I'm not being that impressed at the moment.
    They said the interviews had been done in advance.

    Now, after 12 minutes on the air they're taking a 35-minute 'break' according to the clock on the screen.

    Looks like typical new media hype-driven balloney, with apps and internets.

    Will check back in a few hours to see what they're actually *doing*
  • Options
    LennonLennon Posts: 1,733
    Anecdote #n - My american co-worker just admitted that his postal vote was a write-in Romney vote. (He's from NJ originally so reckons it ain't going to make a difference and despite being a solid Republican couldn't bring himself to vote Trump)
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,461
    edited November 2016
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
    Which ones?

    I reckon the first 20 odd must be ineligible by the times they lived in.
    Woodrow Wilson and Reagan are both out, for example.
    Interesting. Obama too.
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited November 2016
    Can’t believe we’re still discussing a Trump win at this late stage of the game?

    Anyhows, good luck to all PB punters, hope your winnings are big and your losses affordable.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Who holds the record for most votes cast for them in a Presidential Election? Who is the John Major of US Presidential politics?

    I suspect Hillary will break the record today.
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
    Which ones?

    I reckon the first 20 odd must be ineligible by the times they lived in.
    Woodrow Wilson and Reagan are both out, for example.
    So is JFK, I think. His mother's parents were Irish émigrés I think.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    MaxPB said:

    Has there ever been an election where both candidates were so universally disliked?

    Blair and Howard in 2005?
  • Options
    ToryJimToryJim Posts: 3,414
    weejonnie said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
    Which ones?

    I reckon the first 20 odd must be ineligible by the times they lived in.
    Not many people have *more* than 4 grandparents - There may be one or two in a few decades due to gene splicing etc.
    Depends if you count step-grandparents etc.
  • Options
    DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    According to this, Votecastr will have representatives at 100 precincts. Nate Cohn doesn't like them.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,461
    Philip_Thompson said:

    Who holds the record for most votes cast for them in a Presidential Election? Who is the John Major of US Presidential politics?

    I suspect Hillary will break the record today.

    Barack Obama, 69 million in 2008
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    ToryJim said:

    weejonnie said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
    Which ones?

    I reckon the first 20 odd must be ineligible by the times they lived in.
    Not many people have *more* than 4 grandparents - There may be one or two in a few decades due to gene splicing etc.
    Depends if you count step-grandparents etc.
    I don't think it was intended to include step-grandparents given the intention of the tweet.
  • Options
    ToryJimToryJim Posts: 3,414
    Philip_Thompson said:

    Who holds the record for most votes cast for them in a Presidential Election? Who is the John Major of US Presidential politics?

    I suspect Hillary will break the record today.

    Obama in 08 had 69m
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,620
    Pulpstar said:

    Turnout anecdote #2:

    Benedick ‏@BenedickUSA 1h1 hour ago
    Suburban Pittsburgh, PA: Elderly veteran Poll volunteer said early turnout like nothing he's ever seen.

    In UK terms, that must be "brisk" rather than "steady".
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898
    Philip_Thompson said:

    Who holds the record for most votes cast for them in a Presidential Election? Who is the John Major of US Presidential politics?

    I suspect Hillary will break the record today.

    BO in 2008 - 69,498,516
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_presidential_elections_by_popular_vote_margin
  • Options
    peter_from_putneypeter_from_putney Posts: 6,875
    Casino_Royale said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Turnout anecdote #2:

    Benedick ‏@BenedickUSA 1h1 hour ago
    Suburban Pittsburgh, PA: Elderly veteran Poll volunteer said early turnout like nothing he's ever seen.

    Turnout anecdotes are normally bollocks but I'm happy with my buy on it.
    What % turnout are you hoping for?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    edited November 2016
    this will be well received, I am sure...
    https://twitter.com/frasernelson/status/795995434972049408
  • Options
    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Philip_Thompson said:

    Who holds the record for most votes cast for them in a Presidential Election? Who is the John Major of US Presidential politics?

    I suspect Hillary will break the record today.

    I would be surprised since neither HRC nor DJT are enthusuastically supported by mainstream party members. Some will vote Sanders, some Romney, some won't vote.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,461
    edited November 2016
    Good day to bury bad news.

    Operation Midland riddled with police errors, report finds

    Inquiry finds Met officers misled judge to obtain search warrants during investigation into VIP paedophile ring claims

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/nov/08/operation-midland-riddled-with-met-police-errors-report-finds?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,620
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
    Which ones?

    I reckon the first 20 odd must be ineligible by the times they lived in.
    Woodrow Wilson and Reagan are both out, for example.
    So is JFK, I think. His mother's parents were Irish émigrés I think.
    Hillary's grandfather was born in County Durham. His dad worked down the pit.
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Scott_P said:

    this will be well received, I am sure...
    https://twitter.com/frasernelson/status/795995434972049408

    Will go down a storm with our Leaver friends on here.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Good day to bury bad news.

    Operation Midland riddled with police errors, report finds

    Inquiry finds Met officers misled judge to obtain search warrants during investigation into VIP paedophile ring claims

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/nov/08/operation-midland-riddled-with-met-police-errors-report-finds?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    Is willfully misleading a judge not perjury?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    ToryJim said:

    Philip_Thompson said:

    Who holds the record for most votes cast for them in a Presidential Election? Who is the John Major of US Presidential politics?

    I suspect Hillary will break the record today.

    Obama in 08 had 69m
    Hillary should break 70 million today.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    Sandpit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Good day to bury bad news.

    Operation Midland riddled with police errors, report finds

    Inquiry finds Met officers misled judge to obtain search warrants during investigation into VIP paedophile ring claims

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/nov/08/operation-midland-riddled-with-met-police-errors-report-finds?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    Is willfully misleading a judge not perjury?
    It's all sorts of things.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    peter_from_putney said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Turnout anecdote #2:

    Benedick ‏@BenedickUSA 1h1 hour ago
    Suburban Pittsburgh, PA: Elderly veteran Poll volunteer said early turnout like nothing he's ever seen.

    Turnout anecdotes are normally bollocks but I'm happy with my buy on it.
    What % turnout are you hoping for?
    58-62 for me (Betfair band) zeroed other side of it, bust on the top band and lower than 54.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Sandpit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Good day to bury bad news.

    Operation Midland riddled with police errors, report finds

    Inquiry finds Met officers misled judge to obtain search warrants during investigation into VIP paedophile ring claims

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/nov/08/operation-midland-riddled-with-met-police-errors-report-finds?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    Is willfully misleading a judge not perjury?
    I think it comes under, perverting the course of justice.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Excellent Hispanic, African-American, Asian, millennial, women, educated, LGBT, legal immigrant turnout today in Shaw. Close race here in DC

    Rofl
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Dromedary said:

    According to this, Votecastr will have representatives at 100 precincts. Nate Cohn doesn't like them.

    Could be useful in terms of pushing out Hillary's odds though?
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,461
    Sandpit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Good day to bury bad news.

    Operation Midland riddled with police errors, report finds

    Inquiry finds Met officers misled judge to obtain search warrants during investigation into VIP paedophile ring claims

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/nov/08/operation-midland-riddled-with-met-police-errors-report-finds?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    Is willfully misleading a judge not perjury?
    It is a great many things.
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Pulpstar said:

    ToryJim said:

    Philip_Thompson said:

    Who holds the record for most votes cast for them in a Presidential Election? Who is the John Major of US Presidential politics?

    I suspect Hillary will break the record today.

    Obama in 08 had 69m
    Hillary should break 70 million today.
    The horrendous thought is that 70 million is what? 25% or 30% of the entire Amercian voting population. No doubt the resident Corbynistas here will scream she doesn't have a mandate.
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    SandyRentool said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Scott_P said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just realised, if we followed Ann Coulter's logic, Don Junior, and the rest of the Trump kids wouldn't have a vote in this election.

    Neither would Trump apparently
    Amusing
    It's the people with *more* than four grandparents born in the US I'm interest in...

    I think a considerable number of Presidents fail her test.
    Which ones?

    I reckon the first 20 odd must be ineligible by the times they lived in.
    Woodrow Wilson and Reagan are both out, for example.
    So is JFK, I think. His mother's parents were Irish émigrés I think.
    Hillary's grandfather was born in County Durham. His dad worked down the pit.
    When Britain sends its people......
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,001
    Jobabob said:

    Votecastr looks to be a bust.

    It's supposed to be running the live war room, there's nothing there.

    i thought it only went live at 11am eastern
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited November 2016
    About Votecastr and it's turnout projections

    The VoteCastr model makes no effort to adjust for this. It will treat turnout as if it’s uniform throughout the day: If 10 percent of the day has passed, it will expect 10 percent of the vote to be counted. This can cause considerable variance in the estimates as the hours go by.

    DANGER, DNAGER, DANGER.
This discussion has been closed.