Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
London will soon need a Giuliani
Yep. I predict within 5-10 years London will elect a seriously rightwing, crime-crushing mayor. He will probably be black or Asian. Either way he will be elected to clean up the mess, and fuck the Guardian.
Most likely, Bailey is not treat but he is right to focus on crime and he could connect, he has some charisma.
Alan Sugar might also be a future prospect as a no nonsense independent
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
That is sad. I lived in East Ham and Tottenham in the early 90's as a student. My then girlfriend, now wife, would happily walk home alone off the last tube. We never felt in any danger. Moving to Longsight in Manchester, by contrast, you felt almost anything could go off at any time. My eldest has just started at Manchester Uni. The vibe of the entire city just "feels" different now. Ditto London, but in the opposite direction.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
London will soon need a Giuliani
Yep. I predict within 5-10 years London will elect a seriously rightwing, crime-crushing mayor. He will probably be black or Asian. Either way he will be elected to clean up the mess, and fuck the Guardian.
London has always been a shithole full of violence and crime, along with many other facets.
It was a pretty dangerous place when I was a medical student in the eighties. The violence is still there, but I am older now and more aware of the hazards.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
That is sad. I lived in East Ham and Tottenham in the early 90's as a student. My then girlfriend, now wife, would happily walk home alone off the last tube. We never felt in any danger. Moving to Longsight in Manchester, by contrast, you felt almost anything could go off at any time. My eldest has just started at Manchester Uni. The vibe of the entire city just "feels" different now. Ditto London, but in the opposite direction.
The murder rate in London has barely changed in 30 odd years.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
London will soon need a Giuliani
Yep. I predict within 5-10 years London will elect a seriously rightwing, crime-crushing mayor. He will probably be black or Asian. Either way he will be elected to clean up the mess, and fuck the Guardian.
We can elect who we like, but mayors can't change laws or do much about budgets. I live in Walthamstow and work in Fulham. Last year they closed a large police station in Parsons Green - the area went from having police cars flying around all the time to seeing no police at all. There was a crime wave (basically the criminals moved in as the police moved out) which lasted about a year - and which they have put a lot of resource into closing down - a lot of community effort and liaison. It has worked - the mopeds and knives seem to have moved on. Walthamstow needs more visible policing - hardly ever see any, but then again I have never seen any violent crime here in 5 years.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
That is sad. I lived in East Ham and Tottenham in the early 90's as a student. My then girlfriend, now wife, would happily walk home alone off the last tube. We never felt in any danger. Moving to Longsight in Manchester, by contrast, you felt almost anything could go off at any time. My eldest has just started at Manchester Uni. The vibe of the entire city just "feels" different now. Ditto London, but in the opposite direction.
The murder rate in London has barely changed in 30 odd years.
Yes. But it is about impression. Wonder what the equivalent is for Manchester? Murder rates tell little. The vast majority of murders anywhere are amongst family and friends, or ABH gone wrong.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
Reading this makes me very happy to be in deepest suburbia.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
That is sad. I lived in East Ham and Tottenham in the early 90's as a student. My then girlfriend, now wife, would happily walk home alone off the last tube. We never felt in any danger. Moving to Longsight in Manchester, by contrast, you felt almost anything could go off at any time. My eldest has just started at Manchester Uni. The vibe of the entire city just "feels" different now. Ditto London, but in the opposite direction.
The murder rate in London has barely changed in 30 odd years.
Yes. But it is about impression. Wonder what the equivalent is for Manchester? Murder rates tell little. The vast majority of murders anywhere are amongst family and friends, or ABH gone wrong.
I am going to guess that because the moped crime is so visible and often done in daylight (and video shared by social media) which a lot of people see it leaves a big impression. I would guess say 20 years ago, lots of muggings were at night with few people around and not recorded on cctv / camera phone.
Good early results for GOP in Indiana, bear in mind only 1% reporting though so may be premature
Indiana and Kentucky are hardly representative of the places where the House will be decided. Could be punters overreacting to the only information they have, once again.
IIRC the early results were actually more positive for Hilary two years ago.
My memory is the exit polls were misleadingly good for her, but, once the real results started coming in, Trump racking up HUGE votes in rural Indiana and Kentucky were the first real warning sign.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
That is sad. I lived in East Ham and Tottenham in the early 90's as a student. My then girlfriend, now wife, would happily walk home alone off the last tube. We never felt in any danger. Moving to Longsight in Manchester, by contrast, you felt almost anything could go off at any time. My eldest has just started at Manchester Uni. The vibe of the entire city just "feels" different now. Ditto London, but in the opposite direction.
The murder rate in London has barely changed in 30 odd years.
Yes. But it is about impression. Wonder what the equivalent is for Manchester? Murder rates tell little. The vast majority of murders anywhere are amongst family and friends, or ABH gone wrong.
In terms of stabbings in London, it is dangerous to be a young black man. Middle aged white blokes seem pretty safe;
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
Reading this makes me very happy to be in deepest suburbia.
Agreed.
A few weeks ago someone rang our doorbell at 11pm. I was London-dubious at first.
Turned out it was the chap who runs the local offy trying to figure out which of our neighbours had left their outside tap on, to remind them to turn it off.
IIRC the early results were actually more positive for Hilary two years ago.
My memory is the exit polls were misleadingly good for her, but, once the real results started coming in, Trump racking up HUGE votes in rural Indiana and Kentucky were the first real warning sign.
That said, still very early.
I think Hilary has issues re turnout compared to Obama. That may be the difference tonight - two years of Trump might see more voters turnout for the Dems. We will have to see.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
That is sad. I lived in East Ham and Tottenham in the early 90's as a student. My then girlfriend, now wife, would happily walk home alone off the last tube. We never felt in any danger. Moving to Longsight in Manchester, by contrast, you felt almost anything could go off at any time. My eldest has just started at Manchester Uni. The vibe of the entire city just "feels" different now. Ditto London, but in the opposite direction.
The murder rate in London has barely changed in 30 odd years.
Yes. But it is about impression. Wonder what the equivalent is for Manchester? Murder rates tell little. The vast majority of murders anywhere are amongst family and friends, or ABH gone wrong.
It’s not really ‘all about impression’ though is it? It’s about the chances of getting popped. There is an interesting academic report online about gangs in Walthamstow. Suggests the county lines operation has actually reduced violence as territorial postcode battles are bad for business. The organised sale of coke and weed to seaside resorts in the east of England is a big money game, so various postcode gangs in the area have teamed up rather than fight each other over parochial territorial battles.
Good early results for GOP in Indiana, bear in mind only 1% reporting though so may be premature
Indiana and Kentucky are hardly representative of the places where the House will be decided. Could be punters overreacting to the only information they have, once again.
The problem is CNN are talking them up like they are.
Two more stabbings in London tonight. A black mother is on BBC TV saying Khan is not doing enough - "he talks about ten years, but our youths are dying NOW"
I wonder if he might be in trouble. Even if he wins the mayoralty, again, his ineffectual waffling, in the face of this violence, is seriously damaging his long term reputation. Not an inspiring leader.
Sell Khan
That's 117 murders in London so far this year, which is 117 too many but, with the exception of 2012-2014 when it dipped below 100. there have generally been between 100 and 200 murders every year over the past 30 years.
Not sure Khan can be blamed tbh.
The dip in the 'deaths from violent crime' figure corresponds directly with the period when London had more elected Tory MPs than at any point in the past 21 years.
And a Tory mayor and a Tory PM.
Bailey and London Tories in general need to be hammering this point home, over and over.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
London will soon need a Giuliani
Yep. I predict within 5-10 years London will elect a seriously rightwing, crime-crushing mayor. He will probably be black or Asian. Either way he will be elected to clean up the mess, and fuck the Guardian.
London has always been a shithole full of violence and crime, along with many other facets.
It was a pretty dangerous place when I was a medical student in the eighties. The violence is still there, but I am older now and more aware of the hazards.
Mr Foxy - TSK. If you come to my part of London I will show you sights that will make you fall in love with the place.
Indiana and Kentucky are both counting their votes S-L-O-W-L-Y. We have 1 percent to 3 percent of precincts reporting in a few districts like the Kentucky 6th and Indiana 9th, but anyone trying to read into those results is trying too hard."
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
London will soon need a Giuliani
Yep. I predict within 5-10 years London will elect a seriously rightwing, crime-crushing mayor. He will probably be black or Asian. Either way he will be elected to clean up the mess, and fuck the Guardian.
London has always been a shithole full of violence and crime, along with many other facets.
It was a pretty dangerous place when I was a medical student in the eighties. The violence is still there, but I am older now and more aware of the hazards.
Mr Foxy - TSK. If you come to my part of London I will show you sights that will make you fall in love with the place.
Less catchy, but more accurate, than, 'I will show you fear in a handful of dust'
Good early results for GOP in Indiana, bear in mind only 1% reporting though so may be premature
Indiana and Kentucky are hardly representative of the places where the House will be decided. Could be punters overreacting to the only information they have, once again.
Even Romney won Indiana and Kentucky, all the seats there are expected to be safe GOP bar 1 in Kentucky where the GOP lead by 2% at the moment
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
London will soon need a Giuliani
Yep. I predict within 5-10 years London will elect a seriously rightwing, crime-crushing mayor. He will probably be black or Asian. Either way he will be elected to clean up the mess, and fuck the Guardian.
London has always been a shithole full of violence and crime, along with many other facets.
It was a pretty dangerous place when I was a medical student in the eighties. The violence is still there, but I am older now and more aware of the hazards.
Mr Foxy - TSK. If you come to my part of London I will show you sights that will make you fall in love with the place.
Its not all bad! I quite like parts of London, and had a most enjoyable walk in the Mall the other week. A bit crowded mind...
Even Kings Cross is civilised nowadays. That really was dodgy a few years ago.
Even in the Kentucky house districts there is only 1% in, so its waaaaay too early to project. Let alone talk about potential winners in the Florida senate race as Andrew Neil has when the polls are still open!
Good early results for GOP in Indiana, bear in mind only 1% reporting though so may be premature
Indiana and Kentucky are hardly representative of the places where the House will be decided. Could be punters overreacting to the only information they have, once again.
Even Romney won Indiana and Kentucky, all the seats there are expected to be safe GOP bar 1 in Kentucky where the GOP lead by 2% at the moment
The Indiana Senate seat is/was not "expected" to be safe Republican.
I’m going to bed. These results so far are meaningless Dems turned a deep red district blue in Kentucky but there’s only 1% reporting, so the MOE is gigantic.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
That is sad. I lived in East Ham and Tottenham in the early 90's as a student. My then girlfriend, now wife, would happily walk home alone off the last tube. We never felt in any danger. Moving to Longsight in Manchester, by contrast, you felt almost anything could go off at any time. My eldest has just started at Manchester Uni. The vibe of the entire city just "feels" different now. Ditto London, but in the opposite direction.
My youngest is in Manchester and loves the place. But he moved from the area where he was living last year because there were gangs there and he said you had to go home with others to avoid being mugged. He now has a flat 2 mins from the bus stop and likes it much more. So I think there are rough areas everywhere.
I lived in Brixton for a while, at the time of the riots and we were always getting burgled. It got so bad at one point that the burglar came in to my bedroom with our bread knife but then took fright when he realised someone was in there. Still, I felt safe on the streets, safer than at home. At one point, when our back window was boarded up we toyed with the idea of painting a sign on the outside saying "Fuck Off: Everything's Already Gone".
But in the genteel area where I am now - fingers crossed - it feels as safe as anything.
And in our Cumbrian village, we leave doors open without a care. Finding a key to lock up is a major undertaking. But then everyone knows exactly what you are doing and since the house is a building site there is sod all to steal anyway.
Good early results for GOP in Indiana, bear in mind only 1% reporting though so may be premature
Indiana and Kentucky are hardly representative of the places where the House will be decided. Could be punters overreacting to the only information they have, once again.
Even Romney won Indiana and Kentucky, all the seats there are expected to be safe GOP bar 1 in Kentucky where the GOP lead by 2% at the moment
The Indiana Senate seat is/was not "expected" to be safe Republican.
I am not that interested in the Senate, the GOP will almost certainly hold it given the seats up, the House is the one that could switch.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
London will soon need a Giuliani
Yep. I predict within 5-10 years London will elect a seriously rightwing, crime-crushing mayor. He will probably be black or Asian. Either way he will be elected to clean up the mess, and fuck the Guardian.
London has always been a shithole full of violence and crime, along with many other facets.
It was a pretty dangerous place when I was a medical student in the eighties. The violence is still there, but I am older now and more aware of the hazards.
Mr Foxy - TSK. If you come to my part of London I will show you sights that will make you fall in love with the place.
Its not all bad! I quite like parts of London, and had a most enjoyable walk in the Mall the other week. A bit crowded mind...
Even Kings Cross is civilised nowadays. That really was dodgy a few years ago.
Oh God yes - an absolute dive. That was when we had a DPP who kerb-crawled......
Some areas of London seem to have become much safer than they used to be: the area of Brent around Harlesden used to be notorious but there have only been two murders in the borough as a whole over the last 18 months.
I’m going to bed. These results so far are meaningless Dems turned a deep red district blue in Kentucky but there’s only 1% reporting, so the MOE is gigantic.
Yes, it is a TAD early to draw any conclusions, but John King* does do lots of comparisons with past elections so that it's easier to understand what significance the ratios in different counties has.
*He is very good, but he is too hyper for my midnight brain.
Difficult to argue with that. When I lived in London and then Manchester in the 90's, there was no dispute which city felt more dangerous. They certainly feel different now.
***
Very very depressingly, a few weeks ago I felt unsafe in London - for the very first time - with my older daughter and her mother. It was a sunny Sunday afternoon, on the South Bank, outside the National Gallery. I was few minutes late and when I showed up my daughter's mother said "you've missed all the fun, the police have been here twice". Apparently they were breaking up fights (possibly knife fights, I'm not sure - but certainly bad enough to require multiple cop vans)
And this was broad daylight, on the South Bank, on a sunny Sunday arvo. I have never had that experience before.
Londoners have a sense their city is slipping out of control. It may be delusional when you look at the stats, but on the streets that is, sometimes, how it feels. There is an extra edge and sketchiness.
And this is on Khan's Watch. He can bleat all he likes about Tory cuts but he is the mayor and his reputation will take the hit.
London will soon need a Giuliani
Yep. I predict within 5-10 years London will elect a seriously rightwing, crime-crushing mayor. He will probably be black or Asian. Either way he will be elected to clean up the mess, and fuck the Guardian.
London has always been a shithole full of violence and crime, along with many other facets.
It was a pretty dangerous place when I was a medical student in the eighties. The violence is still there, but I am older now and more aware of the hazards.
Mr Foxy - TSK. If you come to my part of London I will show you sights that will make you fall in love with the place.
Its not all bad! I quite like parts of London, and had a most enjoyable walk in the Mall the other week. A bit crowded mind...
Even Kings Cross is civilised nowadays. That really was dodgy a few years ago.
Oh God yes - an absolute dive. That was when we had a DPP who kerb-crawled......
and compared with Peru, our plod don't seem so bad.
Some areas of London seem to have become much safer than they used to be: the area of Brent around Harlesden used to be notorious but there have only been two murders in the borough as a whole over the last 18 months.
As others have noted, King's X is the obvious counter-example. Where I used to score smack or go to derelict warehouse raves there are now starry restaurants, piazzas, and St Martins School of Art, It is a miraculous transformation: King's Cross is now cited, across the world, as THE model of post-industrial urban regeneration. Architects and planners come from across the world to see what we did.
The trouble is that even as inner city areas like King's Cross, Holborn, Paddington, etc, have been reborn, the crime has merely shifted, not vanished. The inner suburbs have declined: places like Harlesden or Wembley, once tedious but safe, are now dangerous and crime-ridden.
A friend of mine was rather nastily mugged in 1996 in Wembley. I don't think it's improved much.
Quite a lot of those AFAIK, including in Boston. Not great for democracy.
My US Rep, Nita Lowey, is effectively unopposed as there’s no Republican challenger. There is a minor party challenger and you can write-in a candidate of your own choice. I think pretty much all states allow write-ins.
In California, everyone is talking about Proposition 7. It will - after all - have more impact on peoples' actual lives than anything else on the ballot.
Comments
It really is one of those things everyone silently agrees to give a pass - a necessary part of the theatre of elections.
But personally I do not have the stamina these evening. Pleasant night to all, particularly poor BigG.
I think it is bang out of order to have elections on any day other than Thursday, tbh
Alan Sugar might also be a future prospect as a no nonsense independent
My eldest has just started at Manchester Uni. The vibe of the entire city just "feels" different now.
Ditto London, but in the opposite direction.
He may be a completely deranged international embarrassment but Americans will vote for the mighty $$$ IMO.
It was a pretty dangerous place when I was a medical student in the eighties. The violence is still there, but I am older now and more aware of the hazards.
Our Cockapoo, meanwhile, regularly turns his nose up at food he likes.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.131974989
We need someone to call it for Clinton on Florida seats for the full on flashbacks
(I love radiohead, btw)
That said, still very early.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/04/killed-in-2018-londons-victims-of-violence
A few weeks ago someone rang our doorbell at 11pm. I was London-dubious at first.
Turned out it was the chap who runs the local offy trying to figure out which of our neighbours had left their outside tap on, to remind them to turn it off.
#lovetheprovinces
And a Tory mayor and a Tory PM.
Bailey and London Tories in general need to be hammering this point home, over and over.
6:45 PM
Indiana and Kentucky are both counting their votes S-L-O-W-L-Y. We have 1 percent to 3 percent of precincts reporting in a few districts like the Kentucky 6th and Indiana 9th, but anyone trying to read into those results is trying too hard."
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/
Even Kings Cross is civilised nowadays. That really was dodgy a few years ago.
If so a good early sign for Pelosi but a long way to go
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-house-elections.html
(let's see if this posts via politicalbetting.vanillacommunity.com, I've not been able to log in via the main site in ages)
My youngest is in Manchester and loves the place. But he moved from the area where he was living last year because there were gangs there and he said you had to go home with others to avoid being mugged. He now has a flat 2 mins from the bus stop and likes it much more. So I think there are rough areas everywhere.
I lived in Brixton for a while, at the time of the riots and we were always getting burgled. It got so bad at one point that the burglar came in to my bedroom with our bread knife but then took fright when he realised someone was in there. Still, I felt safe on the streets, safer than at home. At one point, when our back window was boarded up we toyed with the idea of painting a sign on the outside saying "Fuck Off: Everything's Already Gone".
But in the genteel area where I am now - fingers crossed - it feels as safe as anything.
And in our Cumbrian village, we leave doors open without a care. Finding a key to lock up is a major undertaking. But then everyone knows exactly what you are doing and since the house is a building site there is sod all to steal anyway.
Indiana could be a close Senate race though
*He is very good, but he is too hyper for my midnight brain.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/nov/06/peru-police-chief-baby-smuggling-arrest-raul-becerra?CMP=twt_gu
It would be exciting if they declared independence again...
So far 2 House seats called for the GOP and 2 for the Democrats
Looks like the Dems could take the Governorship and the Senate seat.
Early results etc